Monday, April 21, 2008


My official prediction for tomorrow’s PA Democratic primary is as follows: Hillary Clinton wins by 6-8 percentage points (slightly up from my original call of 4-6), but still lags seriously behind in total delegates.

However, Hillary’s campaign will finally be killed (mathematically) two weeks later (on May 6) by a huge Barack Obama victory in North Carolina, with Indiana too close to call at this moment.

Either way, the numbers will insist that Hillary finally drop out of the race – not that that reality will stop her from pushing on anyhow.

But it won’t matter. The undecided Democratic superdelegates will desert her en masse for Obama.

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